Metrics Center

At DeMarche, our business is objectivity. We know the markets and
the managers. We also know that your bankers, accountants and PR firms each
deliver somewhat different opinions about what drives your stock price.
Our research shows that different metrics drive different stocks in different
markets. So, what's a CFO to do? Our
benchmarking research can help you determine the best metrics for your
company and help develop the right message - both internal and external - to
attract the best investors for your stock. Knowing what investors want helps
you deliver it - it's that simple. Fit this strategy into your strategic plan
and enjoy the benefits of the having the right central message. Now, that's
maximizing shareholder value!
DeMarche's extensive research over the last 10 years has identified that
different markets focus on different factors, i.e. "Sales Growth" in
the late 1990s and "Management and Accounting Quality" in 2001-02.
The market wants different metrics for growth stocks and value stocks at
different times in the market.
Objective analysis is needed to understand how financial metrics interact and
to understand in which markets each metric will be the most powerful. The table
below shows some of the key metrics selected from our total research project
and identifies the predictive power of each. Should you have questions about a
specific metric, please contact Mark Meierhoffer, Practice Leader & Senior Consultant, at
(913) 384-4994.
PREDICTABILITY OF
ONE-YEAR RETURN PREMIUMS
TO S&P 500 BY VARIOUS METRICS
| |
R-SQUARED |
BASIS POINTS PER VENTILE |
| ROE |
40% |
11 |
| EVASM |
32% |
13 |
| CASH FLOW ROI |
12% |
7 |
| CAPM |
5% |
-5 |
| ROA |
0% |
2 |
Data is from 12/78 - 12/01
Note: DeMarche's study separated
the 3,000 most liquid stocks into 20 equal groups, i.e. ventiles.
We then studied the subsequent yearly stock performance of
each company from 1978-2001.
|